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kq4ym
IQ Crew
Wednesday February 27, 2013 11:49:38 AM
no ratings

Pretty impressive to get it all right! I saw some movie reviewer note this week that the winners tend to be those who have mounted a "campaign" beforehand. It seems a lot of trade advertisements, appearances on certain TV show, etc. are a big help in getting that statue.

Not much different than a political campaign it might seem.

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Monday February 25, 2013 3:16:39 PM
no ratings

I think Silver batted 1.000 in the categories he definitely called.  He expressed some hesitation about Best Supporting Actor, and Best Director because of the omitted nominations, but he was right in all the others I believe.

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Monday February 25, 2013 3:15:10 PM
no ratings

Thanks for the link, SLFisher, I hadn't realized that.

slfisher
Thinkernetter
Sunday February 24, 2013 12:53:07 AM
no ratings
abdlah
IQ Crew
Friday February 22, 2013 7:57:43 PM
no ratings

ChrisTop: Iron clad not, I agree, but it gives a basis for fine tuning a working system for better results

jabailo
IQ Crew
Friday February 22, 2013 6:37:51 PM
no ratings

The thing about people who "predict" stuff...at some point it becomes like the people who sell books and advice about getting rich.  If it works so well, why don't you use it yourself.  For instance, why doesn't Nate Silver predict the stock market, and then get a huge leveraged loan, and put his money where his mouth is?

 

 

jabailo
IQ Crew
Friday February 22, 2013 6:36:17 PM
no ratings

I'm thinking in terms of outlier predections...the ones that not many other modellers were making.   For example, I believe the Boulder CU model made accurate forecasts as far as the 2008 election (which was easier to predict with its type of metrics, economic, because unemployment shot up so high the opposition party was destined to win).

 

 

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Friday February 22, 2013 5:17:54 PM
no ratings

I am still planning to watch it.  And tell everyone each time Silver gets one right.

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Friday February 22, 2013 4:21:24 PM
no ratings

Chris, I agree.  Like football, baseball appears to be thick with statistical data, but when it comes to the play-offs that's not much help.  Silver could probably build a good model for the regular season, though.

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Friday February 22, 2013 4:20:01 PM
no ratings

Fun, yes, but not much tension.

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a moderated blogosphere of internet experts
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Dan Cypra
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Matt Heusser
Matt Heusser   5/23/2013   12 comments
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David Weldon
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Edmunds separates customers into segments based on the info it collects on its site and from partners, and uses that to push out custom content, said Brian Baron, director of business analytics for Edmunds.com, at Predictive Analytics Innovation Summit.
Brian Baron
How Edmunds.com Uses Analytics to Customize Site

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The automotive website uses propensity modeling to target ads and customer registration forms, said Brian Baron, director of business analytics for Edmunds.com, at Predictive Analytics Innovation Summit.
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In the 1970 science fiction thriller
Colossus: The Forbin Project, two giant supercomputers from the United States and Soviet Union secretly join forces to take control of the collective nuclear might of the two countries. In the film, the two machines discover each other's existence, communicate back-and-forth, share their collective data, and cut their human creators out of the process. It is the ultimate example of machine-to-machine communications, or M2M.

CLICK FOR MORE
M2M: Rise of the Machines? Not Yet
David Weldon
In the 1970 science fiction thriller
Colossus: The Forbin Project, two giant supercomputers from the United States and Soviet Union secretly join forces to take control of the collective nuclear might of the two countries. In the film, the two machines discover each other's existence, communicate back-and-forth, share their collective data, and cut their human creators out of the process. It is the ultimate example of machine-to-machine communications, or M2M.

CLICK FOR MORE