Hi, Rick. It's indeed well past the time that we should have had IPv6 widespread adoption (indeed, had US government agencies met their original requirements, we might well have had some of the security kinks worked out).
I too wrote about this very issue over a year and a half ago for Internet Evolution. At this rate, I would not be terribly surprised to see IE have a 2013 version of this article, and then a 2014 version of this article.
"I expect most businesses will migrate when they start to feel the pain, not before. Is that a bad strategy, I wonder?"
Mitch, waiting for the pain is a great strategy. I like to let others figure out all the bugs and work-arounds. I avoid upgrading anything that can impact the enterprise until the the pain and aggravation reaches an intolerable leve. Unless there are significant benefits that outweigh the risks.
Even though IPV6 became a published standard 14 years ago, the anemic adoption rate (less than 1%), means that an IPV6 transition is an unnecessary risk for many businesses right now.
Early adoption is a risk in transitioning to IPV6; I just don't see a reward that justifies that risk.
Most companies are running NAT. That requires very few public (routable) IP addresses. For example, several that I work with only have one.
If you have a home network with more than one computer on it, more than likely you only have one public IP address with a perimeter device using NAT.
Large companies are using a service that incorporates a MPLS cloud (the correct use of the term cloud) and all the devices accessing the cloud do not need a public IP address. And, it is a whole bunch more secure.
One thing never mentioned, is that there are plenty of public IP addresses spoken for, but not being used (horded). Universities have millions, for example. They could be forced to return them to the pool. So, it is not as dire as one would believe. And companies know that.
No, not at all. The way most places are setting up IPv6, each device is getting a routable IP address -- more or less completely visible to anyone on the Internet. With IPv4, most devices do not have a routable IP address and access the Internet only through a perimeter device, allowing a certain amount of security through obscurity.
Until that is fully understood, the bad guys will have a field day as IPv6 gains traction, simply because the percentage of people who keep their devices updated is less than 50 percent.
Michael P. Kassner - Interesting. Explain, please? Are you referring to the point that Rick makes about the difficulty of implementing blacklists under IPv6?
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Midsize businesses rarely achieve the same standards of security in their own datacenters as professional providers that specialize in delivering these services to organizations.
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