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Kim Davis

Waiting for Shoes to Drop: The Year in Security

Written by Kim Davis
12/19/2012 20 comments
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As we prepare to hang up our stockings and breach the eggnog, we are still looking nervously over our shoulders, wondering why some major security disasters haven't yet happened.

Admittedly, Anonymous and LulzSec went out with a whimper rather than any threatened bangs, as law enforcement turned out to be less digitally flatfooted than expected. The courtroom parade of hacktivists continued this week, with Barrett Brown pleading not guilty to charges relating to last December's Stratfor email breach.

But if hacking has taken a backseat, cybercrime for profit continued to flourish, beginning in January with a major theft of data from online retailer Zappos. Cyberwar has been noisily brewing too, with the Flame exploit (successor to Stuxnet), and reported retaliations from Iran.

Mobile apps were under assault too, even -- unthinkable! -- the apps in the Apple Store. Not to mention all the usual worries about the redundancy of passwords, security tokens, and SSL certificates.

So what didn't go wrong?

Quite a lot -- so far, anyway. Here are my top three security disasters which, fingers crossed, are deferred until next year:

Cloud outage
A hurricane came and went on the east coast, but the digital cloud survived. Not a security issue? Wrong. For any enterprise with essential data in the cloud -- especially data retained for legal or regulatory purposes -- back-up and disaster recovery certainly relate to information security.

This time around, at least, the disaster didn't happen.

Cloud breach
Okay, you want to talk about cloud security proper? Despite NIST's warning -- which I still think makes all kinds of sense -- that the complexity of cloud services implies a "large attack surface," we haven't yet heard a true horror story involving a cloud breach.

This doesn't mean, of course, that no such breaches have taken place. There have been whispers and allegations about clouds being vulnerable to attacks on "weakest link" clients, but what we haven't yet had is a jaw-dropping headline about a giant cyberheist involving Amazon Web Services, Windows Azure, or another major vendor.

The national infrastructure
Save your biggest sigh of relief, though, for the tenuous preservation of the national digital infrastructure. Despite consistent warnings from the DoD and the FBI -- despite, indeed, a "dire warning" from Defense Secretary Leon Panetta of a coming "Cyber Pearl Harbor" -- the grid still stands.

No thanks to Congress, of course. Blocking cybersecurity legislation seems to have occupied much of the Senate's time this year. Led by John McCain (R. Arizona), a group of die-hards have resisted the imposition of security standards on the private sector elements of national infrastructure, on the grounds that the costs involved harm the economy.

Not that McCain and his crew don't regard national cybersecurity as a priority. But there they stand, and here we are... and wait... did the lights just flicker?

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Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Tuesday January 8, 2013 2:59:30 PM
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That's always a problem with risk management. DHagar.  Risk is essentially forward-looking: what are the chances of something happening...?  But in all walks of life, we find ourselves saying, wow, that was a really big risk we overlooked there.

aum007
Thinkernetter
Tuesday January 8, 2013 4:26:12 AM
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Kim,

I agree.

Professional Cybercrimesters are extremely troublesome here and going ahead.

We can't discount this factor[Financial Motivation] when we decide what Data we put online and what we don't.

 

DHagar
Thinkernetter
Monday January 7, 2013 8:09:51 PM
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Great insights, Kim.  Your predictions suggest that the professionals may not have even been discovered, let alone deterred! 

Risk is always what we don't know.  I believe that we have not begun to understand the true risks that exist yet; hopefully the discoveries will pre-empt major events.

DHagar

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Monday January 7, 2013 3:18:03 PM
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I was talking about the pranksters -- Anonymous, LulzSec, etc.  It became clear last year that "members" of the groups would inform on other "members" rather than serve jail sentences.  The result: plenty of arrests.  Going to jail for pranks isn't attractive.

Professional cybercrime is a whole different deal.

 

aum007
Thinkernetter
Saturday January 5, 2013 6:33:12 AM
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Kim,

You sure?

I still many-many Hackers remain extremely capable of causing damage (across Borders) for Financial Gains today.

The Threat of coordinated Law enforcement action is'nt enough of a rejoinder yet.

 

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Friday January 4, 2013 4:52:38 PM
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I certainly think the main threats now come from agents working for states.  The pranksters have suffered heavily from law enforcement clamp downs.  Cyber thieves can still pick low-hanging fruit without launching complex attacks.

aum007
Thinkernetter
Friday January 4, 2013 9:00:58 AM
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mharden,

The fact that most Governments will be attacked won't surprise me no-end.

We have today,not just Civilian actors here but also States involved.

In this scenario;Attacks will become more frequent especially for Politicial reasons.

When it comes to Cloud companies;I feel a good number of them have worked hard to beef their security today.

Here's hoping they are ready for the inevitable onslaught!

The Internet never sleeps!!!

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Thursday January 3, 2013 5:31:25 PM
no ratings

Nobody has discovered or reported the major issue - but does that provide assurance that it has not already happened?

No David, not assurance: but enterprises have discovered that keeping major breaches secret can lead to problems down the road.

mharden
IQ Crew
Monday December 31, 2012 11:36:03 AM
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@aum007 - I wouldn't be suprised if banks and government agencies will see an all out onslaught in the first half of 2013.  Also, don't be suprised to see some of your favoriate cloud companies get their share of attacks and breaches in the first half of the year as well.

aum007
Thinkernetter
Monday December 31, 2012 6:06:09 AM
no ratings

smk,

I don't think its gonna be one of the Big E-commerce vendors(who are known to provide excellent Security throughout like amazon);which will be hit in 2013.

After all,their entire Bread and Butter depends on the Online world.

The Stronger possibility is we see Breaches amongst firms who have an Online Business but its not key to the way they do Business.

Or the all-time favorite -Governments.

 

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