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Kim Davis

Cyber Retaliation Begins

Written by Kim Davis
10/24/2012 37 comments
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There was an elephant in the room when Barack Obama and Mitt Romney clashed over Israel and Iran in Monday night's Presidential debate. What's more, the elephant was a worm.

Romney accused Obama of wanting to "create daylight between ourselves and Israel," and not being tough enough on Iran and its nuclear weapons program. The elephant-worm, of course, is Stuxnet, because the United States and Israel have been at cyberwar with Iran since the days of the Bush administration, and it looks like Iran has started striking back.

Should I qualify the claim about cyberwar? The New York Times published a detailed account of Obama's direction of cyberattacks in June this year, and so far it's gone noticeably undenied by the White House. The attacks have been precisely of the kind the Pentagon itself considers acts of war, deserving of conventional military response. As one unnamed spokesperson put it: "If you shut down our power grid, maybe we will put a missile down one of your smokestacks."

Iran has attempted nothing so crude, and -- as far as we know -- has not yet brought its retaliation to US shores (if digital space has anything as clear-cut as "shores"). According to US government officials, however, Iran is responsible for a series of cyberattacks on American banks and businesses in the Middle East.

Defense secretary Leon Panetta, who has been sounding the alarms about cyberwar for months, has not made explicit accusations against Iran, but briefings from unnamed officials make the suspicion clear. Panetta called it a "pre-9/11 moment."

Worried? We should be. Enterprises in the Gulf region may be especially vulnerable to Iranian cyberwarriors, but the very nature of the Internet means that potentially crippling exploits, unlike nuclear bombs, do not need to be delivered by missile or plane. An email will suffice.

Why has Iran not yet attacked Israeli businesses? Simply put, we don't know whether it has or not. The businesses may not know. One sinister aspect of cyberwar is that it can be waged while the target remains oblivious. Stuxnet, which was intended to inflict clandestine damage on specific systems in Iran, was only discovered when it accidentally escaped into the wild.

The US faces an ethical problem as well as a political one. Whatever grievances al-Qaeda may hold against the west in general, or the US in particular, the 9/11 attacks did not replicate any assault by the west against an Islamic city. Destructive cyberattacks against industrial operations, however, might plausibly be represented by Iran as retaliation for Stuxnet -- retaliation of a kind that the Pentagon itself countenances as justified.

As for the political problem, the Senate continues to delay passing measures, which might -- arguably -- enhance domestic cyberdefenses. Although opposition to cyberdefense legislation in the Senate has been supported by the US Chamber of Commerce, it's time for enterprises to ask the question whether they are well served by this head-in-sand posture, especially if Iran is now poised to attack.

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Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Thursday November 1, 2012 12:47:08 PM
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That's an interesting analogy, but of course the States was then engaged in lengthy combat with Japan and was looking for a way to terminate it.  I can see plenty of good reasons for the US to be keeping abreast of cutting edge developments in cyberwar, but it might regret (appearing to) be the aggressor.

I haven't heard anyone suggest that Stuxnet shut down the Iranian nuclear program.

pcharles
IQ Crew
Wednesday October 31, 2012 11:59:42 PM
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And bury itmore they will!

Mitch Wagner
Thinkernetter
Wednesday October 31, 2012 8:14:15 PM
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That's a great definition, snucci. When the attacks go from destroying property to killing people, then the line has been crossed. 

I'm reminded of aerial warfare during WWI. At first, the planes were only used for surveillance. 

scucci
IQ Crew
Wednesday October 31, 2012 9:08:48 AM
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In my opinion we've been hitting the industrial/financial sectors to disrupt or destory (in the case of Stuxnet and the DDoS attacks of recent), but haven't seen any attacks where there has been intentional and delibrate loss of life.

If we see groups starting to hit hospital, water supplies, or power grids for the purpose trying to disrupt human life we've crossed the line in a major way.

 

scucci
IQ Crew
Wednesday October 31, 2012 8:53:56 AM
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I've known many people that have started their careers in the military right out of college for experiance and decent pay, but once they reach a point in the career (normally 4 years) they end up leaving for better pay, options and career goals.

Personally I've tried joining the military multiple times, but I have a medical issues that excludes me from joining. I think it would be a great thing for my sons to join when they're ready.

Mitch Wagner
Thinkernetter
Tuesday October 30, 2012 11:41:43 PM
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scucci - These attacks will eventually escalate to a point where the line is greyed and someone will step over it. Once this happens there's no going back. Ever.


What will the line be?

Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Monday October 29, 2012 2:25:50 PM
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We have http://www.internetevolution.com/document.asp?doc_id=253238.  Tell us what you think.

aum007
Thinkernetter
Monday October 29, 2012 10:12:37 AM
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Mary,

What would you do to cut Waste in the Militiary?

I know what I would do.


Cut the Size of the Militiary Budget in Half.

Trouble that solution won't go down well in Swing States like Virginia.

Mary Jander
Thinkernetter
Monday October 29, 2012 9:59:16 AM
no ratings

Working for the military is a mixed bag. But it's a sad state of affairs when it is considered by outsiders to be a gravy train. Sadly, I believe it often is. There is so  much waste, particulary in the technology field. This seems to be common knowledge, but not much is ever done about it.

scucci
IQ Crew
Monday October 29, 2012 8:35:23 AM
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Yes - But those that are sitting there for 25 years always have seniroity and might not be the most qualified.

I personally think they need to change the ways they do things to keep "good talent", not someone who wants to collect a paycheck. I've heard of too many stories, one from my friend in the military, where a person with more seniority got promoted because he was there longer. Not the candidate that deserved it.

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