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Bill St. Arnaud

Three Technologies That Could Change the Internet

Written by Bill St. Arnaud
1/6/2009 7 comments
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As the year begins, it’s interesting to look at technologies that may truly affect the future of the Internet. I’ve chosen three that may have major implications for network bandwidth and the applications that will drive that bandwidth.

The first is twisted light. This has been a concept familiar to physicists for over 60 years, but one which has seen little application until most recently, when researchers have used various wireless techniques, such as quadrature phase shift modulation, to achieve data rates in excess of 560 Gbit/s on a single wavelength in a DWDM (dense wavelength division multiplexing) system. They expect data rates in excess of 1,000 Gbit/s per wavelength soon -- dramatically increasing the potential bandwidth of optical networks.

Right now, optical networks are usually 10 Gbit/s per wavelength, but there have been a few 40-Gbit/s deployments as well. Wavelengths of 100-Gbit/s are expected commercially later this year.

Twisted light will work with existing DWDM networks and dramatically increase bandwidth capacity to tens if not hundreds of terabits per second. Later on, it’s expected that Optical Orbital Angular Momentum (OOAM), another effort that is being widely researched now, will emerge with the potential to add an almost infinite number of phase states to the modulated signal and further increase the capacity to thousands of terabits. Up to now, the challenge has been how to couple OOAM modulated signals into singlemode fiber.

OOAM also is a promising technology for sensors as well.

A second interesting technology is Truphone, which lets you make Skype calls on your iTouch or Iphone using any WiFi networks and avoid expensive cellphone charges and long-distance fees.

The announcement by Truphone is a first significant step toward the convergence of the handheld device and the PC or cloud. It demonstrates that we no longer need a big, clunky PC in order to access any of our desktop applications. It also promises to significantly reduce the energy consumption of computers and personal devices. I think that points the way to the future of personal computing.

A third technology with potential to change the Internet is broadband TV. As Truphone and Skype have done to the telephone industry, broadband-ready TVs may do to the cable industry. With broadband TVs connected directly to the Internet, users will no longer be held captive by cable companies in terms of packages, program schedules, and high costs.

The move of TV to broadband is hardly suprising. Ultimately, as long predicted, everything will move to the Internet, including telephone, wireless, and cable services. The network itself will become blindingly fast and almost free because of new bandwidth technologies like twisted light.

Of course, these aren't the only technologies that stand to improve our online future. But they are among the most intriguing I've seen recently.

One thing to keep in mind: If your business is at the center of a network, your future looks pretty bleak. Go to the edge. That’s where future business opportunities exist.

— Bill St. Arnaud, telecommunications analyst and frequent speaker on the future of the Internet and broadband

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lpricci49
IQ Crew
Wednesday January 7, 2009 9:50:04 PM
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Am I missing something?

Skype has been on Windows Mobile for years

http://www.skype.com/mobile/

Lawrence Ricci
www.EmbeddedInsider.com

 

 

Borgan
Rank: Cave Painter
Wednesday January 7, 2009 6:01:57 PM
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I am always fascinated by how everyone takes for granted that TV is a vital service. For example, in the DTV switchover, everyone is talking about what a horror it might be that some people might not adequately prepare and somehow be caught not able to watch Bewitched reruns for a few days. Oh, the horror!

Might it be the case that TV maybe just isn't entirely crucial to the continuance of life on Earth?

modza
IQ Crew
Wednesday January 7, 2009 4:33:46 PM
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It's certainly true that the proponents of each new technology vastly overpromise (see "Why Things Bite Back by Edward Tenner; Gartner's Hype Cycle Graph; and ask yourself  where George Gilder is now), but it's also true that orders of magnitude changes do change the world, often in nonlinear ways. People use (almost-) always-connected cellphones differently than people used landlines. (I love Qwest's new commercials promoting landlines as something cool "Yes it's really me and you sound clearer too, and you know, I don't really worry about minutes any more. It's pretty cool.") People who have always-on broadband Internet use the Net very differently than people who have to dial up. Pricing is almost (but of course not absolutely) a separate issue.
dlavie
IQ Crew
Wednesday January 7, 2009 9:11:25 AM
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In the 50s and 60s, industrial automation was really the hot item.  It promised us a renaissance because we would have more free time as all the real work was being done by machines.

As the computer became personal, we were going to have free time, we were going to be able to retire paper.  The price of an education was going to drop.  We'd be able to predict the weather for our vacations 6 months in advance.

Its hard to swallow "free broadband" predictions, someone has to pay for R&D, someone has to pay for infrastructure.  Shareholders will want a return on investment.

The first copy of an operating system CD is billions, subsequent copies are pennies a piece. They don't seem to be marketed that way however.

Dave

 

googlemag
Rank: Cave Painter
Wednesday January 7, 2009 5:04:11 AM
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I think the three vthing that may change internet is : 1- INTERNET POLICY 2- ONLINE INVESTIGATION , 3- INTERNET REGULATION ,

Because today internet has acheive the big level and need to be controlled as well as we control our cities in ord'er to avoid damages and threat to divious the city .

But to this we have to have three things in order to make internet future safe and better  1- INTERNET POLICY 2- ONLINE INVESTIGATION , 3- INTERNET REGULATION.

Mark Odiorne
Rank: Cyborg
Tuesday January 6, 2009 11:34:18 PM
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Someone has to pay for all this new high speed technology, and it could be us in the form of access fees like we pay now to get our DSL or broadband cable. It might be advertisers willing to give us the "free" access in exchange for watching their commercials/ads ala broadcast TV. Or some two or three tier system... depending on how much advertising you are willing to tolerate, or how much speed you really need?
DavidSilversmith
Thinkernetter
Tuesday January 6, 2009 5:10:23 PM
no ratings

Interesting stuff that certainly could change the future.  Though I do wonder about the real impacts of broadband TV. After a decade with Earthlink (dial up and then DSL) I switched to Verizon's FIOS which provides my phone service, internet service and TV all via one pipe. The bundling of services (with the help of introductory pricing) made this an attractive offer, but I essentially have the same packages and paid options as with Cable TV. I think the players may change and the pricing will dip if you are willing to pool your services - but I don't see free broadband in the future.

The ThinkerNet does not reflect the views of TechWeb. The ThinkerNet is an informal means of communication to members and visitors of the Internet Evolution site. Individual authors are chosen by Internet Evolution to blog. Neither Internet Evolution nor TechWeb assume responsibility for comments, claims, or opinions made by authors and ThinkerNet bloggers. They are no substitute for your own research and should not be relied upon for trading or any other purpose.
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