The Macrosite for News, Analysis and Opinion about the Future of the Internet
Nicole Ferraro

Why Facebook's $1B Instagram Buy Is Insane

Written by Nicole Ferraro
4/10/2012 57 comments
DISCUSS     Email This

By now you have surely heard that Facebook has acquired Instagram, a photo-sharing app for the iPhone, and now Android. You may have also heard it's rumored to have spent $1 billion on it. And if you're anything like me (Lord, save you!), you may also be shaking your head with sorrow and confusion.

To be sure, I like Instagram a lot. It gives me another reason to think creatively. I follow a small group of actual real-life (RL) friends and I enjoy seeing what they share throughout the day. And I've had fun using its photo filters to change the views of my keys, sink, bathroom cabinet, and coworkers. Good times!

Are those good times worth $1 billion, though? No. Of course not.

Let's go over some statistics: Instagram claims over 30 million registered users. It's a free app. It isn't ad-supported. It has no revenue stream at all, in fact. Since it launched in 2010, it's raised $57 million, which valued the company at $500 million.

Even $500 million seems way too high for a startup with no business model. Yet, somehow, Facebook has now plunked down double that to acquire it. Why?

There are plenty of theories and justifications floating around. Some, like BusinessWeek, suggest it's not a big deal for Facebook to spend $1 billion (how nice), making this a strategic move by Zuckerberg to acquire an audience. Om Malik at GigaOm chalks it up to Zuckerberg's fear of Instagram, a service that was able to do mobile-photo sharing in an attractive way that Facebook couldn't. As Malik writes:

It has created a platform built on emotion. It created not a social network, but instead built a beautiful social platform of shared experiences. Facebook and Instagram are two distinct companies with two distinct personalities. Instagram has what Facebook craves - passionate community.

All of that may be true. But it's still a reckless purchase, and it's something to take note of as Facebook prepares to go public.

Zuckerberg goes out of his way in his announcement about the acquisition to say that Facebook doesn't plan to do "many more" of these types of major acquisitions. (Read: Don't worry, investors, we won't continue to be this careless with our money.) But should we take his word for it? Or does this acquisition just prove that Zuckerberg will spend recklessly when he's fearful of the competition, and when he doesn't think his own engineers can build something better?

Furthermore, Zuckerberg may have purchased a "passionate community," as Malik says, but that passion may begin to dissipate under Facebook's rule. (The New York Times today already pointed out a series of posts from users planning to quit Instagram now that it's Facebook-owned.)

What's most disappointing of all, though, isn't that Facebook is irresponsible. This much we knew. It's that all of these years after the dot-com bubble this pattern of reckless spending continues. One overvalued company buys another, and so on and so forth, and no one is being held accountable for their true ability to establish business models and earn actual money.

Instagram is a lovely service, and its founders are now multi-millionaires. So good for them. But it's simply delusional that a two-year-old company with no business model should be worth a billion dollars, and it highlights the fact that the tech industry hasn't learned its lesson.

All in all, my message to Facebook and Silicon Valley can best and most appropriately be summed up as follows:

Related posts:

— Nicole Ferraro Follow me on TwitterVisit my LinkedIn pageFriend me on Facebook, Editor in Chief, Internet Evolution

DISCUSS     Email This
Current display:       newest comments first       display in chronological order
Page 1 of 6   Next >
Mashka
Researcher
Friday April 20, 2012 2:11:21 AM
no ratings

Yeh, Instagram: "Make your boring life looks like your boring life in 70th:)))))"

Nicole Ferraro
IQ Crew
Monday April 16, 2012 1:13:45 PM
no ratings

I echo that, slfisher. This, to me at least, doesn't suggest Facebook's doing so supremely well as much as it makes me believe Facebook is willing to spend recklessly. I think that's why Zuckerberg said in his post that Facebook wouldn't do many acquisitions like this... to calm the investors down. But I wouldn't take his word for it.

slfisher
Thinkernetter
Sunday April 15, 2012 9:20:44 AM
no ratings

The problem is, everything that Facebook does right now should be focused on making it look good for its IPO. I'm not convinced this does that, other than "Wow, if they can spend a billion dollars on this, they must be doing great!" consumer level sales, but the more thoughtful institutional investors are going to look at this pretty closely.

Nicole Ferraro
IQ Crew
Friday April 13, 2012 6:07:12 PM
no ratings

No business plan at all, Dream Chaser. And it's a good question that I think people should be asking before getting too excited for Facebook's IPO. I find the whole thing disturbing.

The Dream Chaser
Rank: Cyborg
Friday April 13, 2012 10:18:16 AM
no ratings

what does it say about the tech economy in general -- and Facebook in particular -- that a startup with exactly zero revenue and no particular business plan can be sold for a cool $1 billion?

Mitch Wagner
Thinkernetter
Thursday April 12, 2012 4:32:13 PM
no ratings

It's turtles all the way down. 

Nicole Ferraro
IQ Crew
Thursday April 12, 2012 3:27:46 PM
no ratings

"Keeping people on facebook longer? That is a really bad reason to pay 1 B for something."

That's my perspective, cjon. The arguments in favor of this acquisition are relying on big "ifs." I absolutely do not see Instagram justifying this pricetag.

Nicole Ferraro
IQ Crew
Thursday April 12, 2012 3:26:02 PM
no ratings

"This is a case of a company without a proven business model buying a company with no business model at all."

That's exactly right... and I find it troubling!

cjon316
IQ Crew
Thursday April 12, 2012 3:22:41 PM
no ratings

It will be worth it if it ends up being worth it, right?

How does a company without a business model become worth 1 Billion dollars? Lots of free pictures?

Keeping people on facebook longer? That is a really bad reason to pay 1 B for something.

 

 

Mitch Wagner
Thinkernetter
Wednesday April 11, 2012 6:46:46 PM
no ratings

This is a case of a company without a proven business model buying a company with no business model at all. 

Page 1 of 6   Next >
The ThinkerNet does not reflect the views of TechWeb. The ThinkerNet is an informal means of communication to members and visitors of the Internet Evolution site. Individual authors are chosen by Internet Evolution to blog. Neither Internet Evolution nor TechWeb assume responsibility for comments, claims, or opinions made by authors and ThinkerNet bloggers. They are no substitute for your own research and should not be relied upon for trading or any other purpose.
previous posts from Editor's Blog
Mitch Wagner
Mitch Wagner   5/19/2013   1 comment
Yahoo's reported $1.1 billion acquisition of Tumblr faces many obstacles. But it could be a big jolt of caffeine to help Yahoo wake up and work right.
Alison Diana
Alison Diana   5/17/2013   34 comments
Catch up on the week with one simple serving of Friday File. We've pieced together 10 interesting news bites you may have missed and put them together in bite-size morsels.
Mitch Wagner
Mitch Wagner   5/15/2013   13 comments
I've been excited by a few technology announcements, and bored by many, but Google's I/O announcement this week is the first where I found myself getting choked up and teary.
Alison Diana
Alison Diana   5/15/2013   9 comments
What's the prognosis for telehealth? Medical professionals have technologies they need; some state legislatures are enacting supportive laws, and both employers and employees tout the benefits. Yet other states have let proposals wither, insurers aren't sure how to charge for services, and physicians worry about liability and patient care.
5
of
Second Shooter
Graphing Facebook Graph Search's Success

1|25|13   |   2:13   |   10 comments


Facebook's Graph Search may face some profound challenges and risks, first, because Facebook users haven't been thinking of their posts as product reviews; and second, because Facebook will now have to contend with the social-network equivalent of SEO "gaming" of results.
Second Shooter
Twitter Tweaks Twist Facebook?

9|20|12   |   2:07   |   8 comments


Twitter's changes are clearly aimed at being more Facebook-like, and this is because both companies are vying to serve the mobile social network market. But can that market work for anybody, given how difficult it is to push ads to social-update readers?
Kim Davis
Thinking Pretty at TED

3|2|12   |   2:14   |   5 comments


Dewar's Hub at TED 2012 is an interactive Twitter tool that lets you rummage vaguely through a world of ideas.
what.the.ferraro
Disturbing Holiday Trends on the Web

12|23|11   |   2:54   |   9 comments


Celebrate the holidays the World Wide Web Way, with holiday-themed digital app farms, creepy Santa photo Websites, and more, more, more!
what.the.ferraro
Ashton Tweets No More

11|11|11   |   03:01   |   19 comments


After making an egregious blunder on Twitter, Ashton Kutcher is handing off the task of being informed and sensible to a management team.
what.the.ferraro
Interpretive Recitations of Reactions to New Facebook

9|22|11   |   02:49   |   23 comments


Based on reactions in Nicole's Newsfeed, everyone hates this version of Facebook. This should matter to Facebook now that there's a real competitor on the scene named Google+.
Kim Davis
Facebook as Media Platform? Sigh

9|20|11   |   3:07   |   8 comments


Allowing users to share music and video on Facebook might sound like good news, but is this part of a coherent strategy, or is Facebook just stumbling from idea to idea?
what.the.ferraro
Biz Stone Joins AOL as Social Whatever

3|17|11   |   2:27   |   6 comments


Biz Stone is getting paid to be a "social impact strategic advisor" at AOL. We have no idea why.
what.the.ferraro
Share Location, Get Burglarized

9|14|10   |   02:29   |   18 comments


Let's start making smarter decisions, like not alerting Web-savvy criminals that our homes are vacant.
Kim Davis
Ladies, Your Tablet Awaits

3|21|13   |   2:22   |   37 comments


ePad Femme is the world’s first tablet “made exclusively for women.”
IETV: the thinkerNet on film
5
of
Paul J. Fleuranges
Digital Signage Keeps NYC Subway Straphangers on Track

5|6|13   |   3:51   |   No comments


New York's Metropolitan Transit Authority is conducting a pilot test of digital kiosks to guide subway users to where they want to go more efficiently and at lower cost.
Kim Davis
Fast Forward to the Future

4|23|13   |   2:29   |   20 comments


A look back at tech writing in the 90s makes us wonder where enterprise IT will be 20 years from now.
Mitch Wagner
Google Launches Its Most Depressing Service Yet

4|15|13   |   2:59   |   10 comments


Google's new Inactive Account Manager lets you control how Google disposes of your accounts when you die.
Second Shooter
Argument Over Top-Level Domains Is 'Stupid'

4|11|13   |   2:07   |   3 comments


The whole Amazon.reader debate is a double-stupid. It's stupid to think that there's any e-book buyer who doesn't know Amazon's URL, and it was stupider to let ICANN launch the whole free-form TLD initiative to start with.
Kim Davis
Ladies, Your Tablet Awaits

3|21|13   |   2:22   |   37 comments


ePad Femme is the world’s first tablet “made exclusively for women.”
Wisdom of the Big Chair
NFC Moves Into the Mainstream

3|20|13   |   2:16   |   No comments


While NFC's original goal was to enhance mobile commerce applications, it is finding its way into a number of other uses, which is creating both opportunity as well as challenges for IT departments.
Wisdom of the Big Chair
Integrating Security Into Your Cloud Contract

3|19|13   |   3:35   |   No comments


Enterprises would like to move to cloud computing but are hesitant because they are concerned about providers’ ability to secure company data. Here are some tips that help to ensure that if breaches occur, the business is not left holding the bag.
Brian Baron
How Edmunds.com Collects Customer Information

3|18|13   |   1:15   |   No comments


Edmunds separates customers into segments based on the info it collects on its site and from partners, and uses that to push out custom content, said Brian Baron, director of business analytics for Edmunds.com, at Predictive Analytics Innovation Summit.
Brian Baron
How Edmunds.com Uses Analytics to Customize Site

3|14|13   |   0:47   |   No comments


The automotive website uses propensity modeling to target ads and customer registration forms, said Brian Baron, director of business analytics for Edmunds.com, at Predictive Analytics Innovation Summit.
Second Shooter
Locked Handsets Aren't the Problem – Subsidies Are the Problem

3|13|13   |   2:09   |   10 comments


Subsidized handsets, rather than locked handsets, should be the focus of regulators. We're not getting good deals, not fostering innovation, and weakening our power as buyers.
an IBM information resource
sponsored content
big blue blog
Todd Watson
Todd Watson   5/17/2013   1 comment
It's been 17 years since I've visited the city of Dublin, but I still have some very distinct impressions from my one and only visit.
an IBM information resource
sponsored content
Expert Integrated Systems: Changing the Experience & Economics of IT
In this e-book, we take an in-depth look at these expert integrated systems -- what they are, how they work, and how they have the potential to help CIOs achieve dramatic savings while restoring IT's role as business innovator.

READ THIS eBOOK
your weekly update of news, analysis, and
opinion from Internet Evolution - FREE!

REGISTER HERE
Wanted! Site Moderators
Internet Evolution is looking for a handful of readers to help moderate the message boards on our site – as well as engaging in high-IQ conversation with the industry mavens on our thinkerNet blogosphere. The job comes with various perks, bags of kudos, and GIANT bragging rights. Interested?

Please email: moderators@internetevolution.com
Internet Evolution – not for thickies
Keep Critical Data With a Knowledge Management System
Taimoor Zubair
Fortune 500 companies lose at least
$31.5 billion a year by failing to share knowledge. A Knowledge Management System (KMS) can help companies significantly reduce these costs.

CLICK FOR MORE
IT Suffers From Obama Admin's Jekyll & Hyde Approach to Privacy Rights
Ron Miller
Recently, the Obama administration has been of two minds where privacy rights are concerned. On one hand, you have an administration that vowed to
veto CISPA and mandated open data for government websites. On the other hand, you have an increasingly out-of-control Department of Justice on a fishing expedition at AP and demanding legislation to let the FBI wiretap private, encrypted communications and levy fines if a company fails to comply.

CLICK FOR MORE
IT Suffers From Obama Admin's Jekyll & Hyde Approach to Privacy Rights
Ron Miller
Recently, the Obama administration has been of two minds where privacy rights are concerned. On one hand, you have an administration that vowed to
veto CISPA and mandated open data for government websites. On the other hand, you have an increasingly out-of-control Department of Justice on a fishing expedition at AP and demanding legislation to let the FBI wiretap private, encrypted communications and levy fines if a company fails to comply.

CLICK FOR MORE
IT Suffers From Obama Admin's Jekyll & Hyde Approach to Privacy Rights
Ron Miller
Recently, the Obama administration has been of two minds where privacy rights are concerned. On one hand, you have an administration that vowed to
veto CISPA and mandated open data for government websites. On the other hand, you have an increasingly out-of-control Department of Justice on a fishing expedition at AP and demanding legislation to let the FBI wiretap private, encrypted communications and levy fines if a company fails to comply.

CLICK FOR MORE
Websites Should Consider Tougher ID Verification Policies
Alan Reiter
The apartment and house sharing service,
Airbnb, now requires members to verify their identities by demonstrating a presence on the web, and by either scanning a government ID or entering detailed personal details. Other enterprises should take a close look at Airbnb's verification policies.

CLICK FOR MORE