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Gerad Hoyt

The Year of the Mobile Internet Revolution

Written by Gerad Hoyt
12/19/2012 75 comments
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For those who were living under a rock during the past few weeks, online sales are skyrocketing this holiday season. Black Friday and Cyber Monday alone represent the No. 1 and No. 3 all-time highest days for online sales, totaling a combined $3.28 billion, according to Adobe's Digital Index. To put that into perspective, it's more than the annual profits of Coca-Cola, Xerox, Radioshack, CBS, Southwest Airlines, JC Penny, and Petsmart -- combined.

While this growth is pretty much in line with recent trends in online sales, a stat that should really stand out from Cyber Monday is the increase in mobile. Mobile sales grew 234 percent compared to Cyber Monday 2011, reaching $436 million. This quick shift is a large indicator of the coming mobile avalanche, and is a barometer for migrating consumer habits.

It's not so much that people are truly buying that much more, but that their consumption habits are beginning to shift.

A Mobile State of Mind

Mobile growth
While it may seem like everybody has a smartphone, the truth is, smartphone adoption is nowhere near its peak. In the United States alone there are more than 110 million people who still have yet to own their first smartphone.

Tablets, on the other hand, are skyrocketing in growth, reaching 40 million in the US in 2012. In only three years on the market, tablets have reached a market penetration that took smartphones nine years.

Skyrocketing Sales

Usage behavior is transitioning, purchasing will soon follow
Rapid growth of mobile device ownership is only half of the story. Consumer habits are quickly shifting as more people begin to use their smartphone and tablet as their first, or only, form of Internet interaction. So far, purchasing power has yet to catch up to overall usage of mobile devices. However, this trend can't last forever, and when you dive into the numbers, you can see that the 22 percent of sales that occurred via mobile devices is a foreshadowing of this shift.

Market research firm comScore estimates that in the fourth quarter of 2012, between 12 percent and 13 percent of online transactions will occur via mobile device.

In a recent report, the IDC projected that by 2015, more Internet users will access the web via a mobile device than by wireline devices, and by 2016, there will 225 million PC users versus 265 million users of mobile devices.

The trend is also expected to expand beyond retail consumption and into schools. In April 2012, the FCC projected that if schools were to replace textbooks with tablets, the total savings for US schools would be $3 billion per year -- essentially half the cost of purchasing textbooks.

While it's hard to say for sure what will happen, the numbers from Cyber Monday certainly seem to indicate that the shift is actually happening faster than many of the projections indicate.

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DrT
IQ Crew
Wednesday December 19, 2012 10:57:27 AM
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These are impressive numbers. We live in mobile world and there is still room to grow. The  more we use mobile devise the more we will be vulnerable on those devices. We have to increase awareness around mobile security.

Usman Ejaz
IQ Crew
Wednesday December 19, 2012 11:18:01 AM
no ratings

Nice concept. But i have experienced that its difficult to read on electronic device for a longtime than the real book.

And I am wondering when will they start talking about replacing whole libraries.

abdlah
IQ Crew
Wednesday December 19, 2012 1:21:09 PM
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Going mobile is definitely convenient and enhances productivity. So the numbers you allude to are in the right direction. A trend that can only grow in the foreseeable future.
Kim Davis
Thinkernetter
Wednesday December 19, 2012 5:17:39 PM
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I'm surprised.  I'm committed to real, paper books for a number of reasons, but I've never found it a strain to read a Kindle.

Mitch Wagner
Thinkernetter
Wednesday December 19, 2012 5:55:43 PM
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Usman - There will be those who prefer reading real books to ebooks, but the trend is in the other direction. I expect in a generation paper books will be a boutique product, like opera and ballet. 

Mitch Wagner
Thinkernetter
Wednesday December 19, 2012 5:58:08 PM
no ratings

The mobile Internet is beginning to resemble the commercial web in the middle 1990s. It's a gold rush. I wonder when mobile will overtake the desktop Internet?

mtechie
IQ Crew
Wednesday December 19, 2012 8:53:18 PM
no ratings
Perhaps you should try your hand at predicting the mobile overthrow. It is almost 2013 and time for that sort of thing...
mharden
IQ Crew
Wednesday December 19, 2012 11:03:33 PM
no ratings
@Mitch - I think smartphones has a huge upside in developing countrys-- because old wired infrastructure is sporadic or simply doesn't exist. As mobile internet usage increases both at home and abroad they can definitely exceed that of the desktop internet sometime inthe future.
mharden
IQ Crew
Wednesday December 19, 2012 11:12:31 PM
no ratings
Yes, it is definitely an adjustment from paperback to tablet reading, but like you Kim I don't have a problem with my tablet being a strain thus far. I do like the convenience of of downloading my books and if the is really good, I will buy it and add it to,my library.
Michael P. Kassner
Thinkernetter
Thursday December 20, 2012 8:06:56 AM
no ratings

Forgetting one thing, Mitch

You maybe right about physical books going away, but that will not happen until a universal format is determined. Until that time, physical books will be the only true archival format. 

 

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